Số 222 | Tháng 9/2024
Vai trò của năng lượng tái tạo và không tái tạo đối với tăng trưởng tại các nền kinh tế mới nổi ASEAN
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Nga
Tóm tắt:
Nghiên cứu nhằm đánh giá tác động của năng lượng tái tạo (NLTT) và năng lượng không tái tạo (NLKTT) đến tăng trưởng tại các nền kinh tế mới nổi ASEAN. Thông qua việc thực hiện một hồi quy hiệu ứng hỗn hợp Bayes trên một mẫu dữ liệu bảng bao gồm năm nước ASEAN (ASEAN-5) giai đoạn 1965-2019, nghiên cứu cho thấy những nguồn lực truyền thống như công nghệ, vốn nhân lực, vốn thực thể và lao động có đóng góp lớn hơn vào tăng trưởng kinh tế so với các nguồn năng lượng, trong khi đó so với NLTT, NLKTT có ảnh hưởng mạnh hơn đến tăng trưởng kinh tế. Đặc biệt, công nghệ có tác động mạnh nhất đến tăng trưởng kinh tế tại các thị trường mới nổi ASEAN. Kết quả thực nghiệm gợi ý những hàm ý chính sách quan trọng nhằm thúc đẩy chuyển đổi năng lượng tại các quốc gia ASEAN.
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Role of Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy in Economic Growth of Emerging ASEAN Economies
Abstract:
The study investigates the influence of renewable and non-renewable energy sources on economic growth in emerging ASEAN economies. Utilizing Bayesian mixed-effects regression on panel data from five ASEAN countries (ASEAN-5) spanning 1965-2019, the study reveals that traditional factors such as technology, human capital, physical capital, and labour play a more significant role in driving economic growth compared to renewable and non-renewable energy sources. Among energy sources, non-renewable energy demonstrates a more substantial impact on economic growth than renewable energy. Specifically, technology emerges as the most influential factor contributing to economic growth in emerging ASEAN economies. The study offers valuable implications for promoting energy transition in ASEAN countries by uncovering these insights.