Tạp chí đã xuất bản
2004
ISSN
ISSN 2615-9813
ISSN (số cũ) 1859-3682

SỐ 196 | THÁNG 7/2022

Quyết định về cơ cấu vốn ngân hàng thay đổi như thế nào trong thời kỳ suy thoái: Bằng chứng từ Covid-19 từ Đại học Pakistan

Khalil Ullah Mohammad

Tóm tắt:

Mục đích – Nghiên cứu này đóng góp vào các tài liệu nghiên cứu hiện có bằng cách điều tra động lực học của cơ cấu vốn ngân hàng trong thời kỳ đại dịch Covid-19. Vai trò của các yếu tố quyết định cấu trúc vốn của ngân hàng hiện đại trong giai đoạn này được phân tích.

Thiết kế/phương pháp/cách tiếp cận – Một thử nghiệm t độc lập được thực hiện để kiểm tra phản ứng của đòn bẩy ngân hàng đối với khủng hoảng. Sử dụng phương pháp ước tính hiệu ứng cố định và phương pháp chung của khoảnh khắc (GMM), tác động của cú sốc được kiểm tra. Một bộ dữ liệu hàng quý không cân bằng từ 2016 q1 đến 2020 q3 của tất cả các ngân hàng thương mại ở Pakistan được sử dụng.

Kết quả – Nghiên cứu cho thấy rằng do tính thuận chu kỳ của vốn, trong cuộc khủng hoảng Covid-19, các ngân hàng đã ngăn chặn sự sụt giảm vốn và cải thiện vị thế vốn của mình. Vai trò của các biến cụ thể của ngân hàng trong việc xác định cấu trúc vốn như khả năng sinh lời, quy mô và cạnh tranh yếu đi trong giai đoạn này. Bằng chứng cho thấy rằng chính sách can thiệp lãi suất của ngân hàng trung ương là một yếu tố quan trọng trong các quyết định về cơ cấu vốn trong giai đoạn Covid-19. Nghiên cứu cho thấy rằng các cú sốc kinh tế vĩ mô có tác động đáng kể đến việc ra quyết định về cấu trúc vốn của các ngân hàng vượt ra ngoài các yếu tố cụ thể của ngân hàng.

Tính mới/giá trị – Nó tìm thấy bằng chứng về vai trò điều tiết của chính sách tiền tệ trong quá trình ra quyết định về cấu trúc vốn mà trước đây chưa được nêu bật trong tài liệu. Chính sách tiền tệ được nhận thấy trở thành yếu tố quan trọng quyết định cơ cấu vốn của các ngân hàng trong 3 quý đầu năm Covid-19. Nghiên cứu này cũng khám phá tác động của Covid-19 đối với các yếu tố quyết định đặc thù ngân hàng đối với cấu trúc vốn của các ngân hàng.

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How bank capital structure decision-making change in recessions: Covid-19 evidence from Pakistan

Abstract:

Purpose
This study contributes to existing literature by investigating bank capital structure dynamics during the Covid-19 pandemic. The role of contemporary bank-specific determinants of capital structure during this period is analyzed.

Design/methodology/approach
An independent t-test is carried out to check the response of bank leverage to the crisis. Using fixed effect estimation and difference general method of moments (GMM), the impact of the shock is examined. An unbalanced quarterly data set from 2016q1 to 2020q3 of all commercial banks in Pakistan is used.

Findings
The study finds that due to procyclicality of capital, during the Covid-19 crisis, the banks preempted a fall in capital and improved their capital positions. The role of bank specific variables in determining capital structure like profitability, size and competition weakened during this period. Evidence suggests that policy rate intervention by the central bank was a significant factor in capital structure decisions during the Covid-19 period. The study finds that macroeconomic shocks have significant impact on capital structure decision-making of banks which goes beyond the bank-specific factors.

Originality/value
It finds evidence of a moderating role of monetary policy in capital structure decision-making which has not been previously highlighted in literature. Monetary policy is found to become an important factor deciding the capital structure of banks during the Covid-19 first 3 quarters. This study also explores the impact of Covid-19 on the bank-specific determinants of capital structure of banks.