Tạp chí đã xuất bản
2004
ISSN
ISSN 2615-9813
ISSN (số cũ) 1859-3682

SỐ 204 | THÁNG 3/2023

Sự nhạy cảm của đầu tư theo dòng tiền tại các nền kinh tế mới nổi

Nguyễn Ngọc Thụy Vy

Tóm tắt:

Nghiên cứu kiểm định sự nhạy cảm của đầu tư theo dòng tiền tại các nền kinh tế mới nổi. Mẫu nghiên cứu gồm các doanh nghiệp thuộc 13 nền kinh tế mới nổi trong giai đoạn 2000-2020. Sau khi kiểm soát sai số đo lường trong q – biến đại diện cho cơ hội đầu tư, nghiên cứu cho thấy đầu tư của doanh nghiệp tại các quốc gia mới nổi phụ thuộc đáng kể vào dòng tiền của doanh nghiệp. Bên cạnh đó, các doanh nghiệp bị hạn chế tài chính có sự nhạy cảm của đầu tư theo dòng tiền cao hơn các doanh nghiệp không bị hạn chế tài chính. Các kết quả này hàm ý rằng, sự phụ thuộc của đầu tư theo dòng tiền là minh chứng về giới hạn tài trợ do các bất hoàn hảo tài chính.

 

Tài liệu tham khảo:

  1. Abel, A. B. (2018). The effects of q and cash flow on investment in the presence of measurement error. Journal of Financial Economics, 128(2), 363-377.
  2. Ağca, Ş., & Mozumdar, A. (2017). Investment-cash flow sensitivity: fact or fiction? Journal of financial and quantitative analysis, 52(3), 1111-1141.
  3. Almeida, H., & Campello, M. (2007). Financial constraints, asset tangibility, and corporate investment. The Review of Financial Studies, 20(5), 1429-1460.
  4. Arellano, C., Bai, Y., & Kehoe, P. J. (2019). Financial frictions and fluctuations in volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 127(5), 2049-2103.
  5. Ascioglu, A., Hegde, S.P., & McDermott, J. B. (2008). Information asymmetry and investment-cash flow sensitivity. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(6), 1036-1048.
  6. Ayyagari, M., Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Maksimovic, V. (2013). Financing in developing countries. Handbook of the Economics of Finance, 2, 683-757.
  7. Baker, M., Stein, J. C., & Wurgler, J. (2003). When does the market matter? Stock prices and the investment of equity-dependent firms. The quarterly journal of economics, 118(3), 969-1005.
  8. Baum, C. F., Caglayan, M., & Talavera, O. (2010). On the sensitivity of firms' investment to cash flow and uncertainty. Oxford Economic Papers, 62(2), 286-306.
  9. Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of econometrics, 87(1), 115-143.
  10. Bond, S. & Meghir, C. (1994). Dynamic investment models and the firm's financial policy. The Review of Economic Studies, 61(2), 197-222.
  11. Bond, S., & Van Reenen, J. (2007). Microeconometric models of investment and employment. Handbook of econometrics, 6, 4417-4498.
  12. Brainard, W. C., & Tobin, J. (1968). Pitfalls in financial model building. The American Economic Review, 58(2), 99-122.
  13. Chen, H. J., & Chen, S. J. (2012). Investment-cash flow sensitivity cannot be a good measure of financial constraints: Evidence from the time series. Journal of Financial Economics, 103(2), 393-410.
  14. Chen, H. J., & Chen, S. J. (2012). Investment-cash flow sensitivity cannot be a good measure of financial constraints: Evidence from the time series. Journal of Financial Economics, 103(2), 393-410.
  15. Chowdhury, J., Kumar, R., & Shome, D. (2016). Investment-cash flow sensitivity under changing information asymmetry. Journal of Banking & Finance, 62, 28-40.
  16. Cummins, J. G., Hassett, K. A., & Oliner, S. D. (2006). Investment behavior, observable expectations, and internal funds. American Economic Review, 96(3), 796-810.
  17. De la Torre, A., Gozzi, J. C., & Schmukler, S. L. (2017). Innovative Experiences in Access to Finance: Market-Friendly Roles for the Visible Hand? World Bank Publications.
  18. Erickson, T., & Whited, T. M. (2012). Treating measurement error in Tobin's q. The Review of Financial Studies, 25(4), 1286-1329.
  19. Fan, J. P., Wei, K. J., & Xu, X. (2011). Corporate finance and governance in emerging markets: A selective review and an agenda for future research. Journal of Corporate Finance, 17(2), 207-214.
  20. Fazzari, S., Hubbard, R. G., & Petersen, B. C. (1987). Financing constraints and corporate investment.
  21. Gala, V. (2019). Measuring marginal q. Jacobs Levy Equity Management Center for Quantitative Financial Research Paper.
  22. Goergen, M., & Renneboog, L. (2001). Investment policy, internal financing and ownership concentration in the UK. Journal of Corporate Finance, 7(3), 257-284.
  23. Hall, R. E., & Jorgenson, D. W. (1967). Tax policy and investment behavior. The American Economic Review, 57(3), 391-414.
  24. Hayashi, F. (1982). Tobin's marginal q and average q: A neoclassical interpretation. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 213-224.
  25. Hennessy, C. A., Levy, A., & Whited, T. M. (2007). Testing Q theory with financing frictions. Journal of financial economics, 83(3), 691-717.
  26. Hubbard, R. G. (1997). Capital-market imperfections and investment.
  27. Jorgenson, D. W. (1963). Capital theory and investment behaviour. American Economic Review 53, 247-259.
  28. Kaplan, S. N., & Zingales, L. (1997). Do investment-cash flow sensitivities provide useful measures of financing constraints? The quarterly journal of economics, 112(1), 169-215.
  29. Kiyotaki, N., & Moore, J. (1997). Credit cycles. Journal of political economy, 105(2), 211-248.
  30. La Porta, R., Lopez‐de‐Silanes, F., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. (2002). Investor protection and corporate valuation. The journal of finance, 57(3), 1147-1170.
  31. Larkin, Y., Ng, L., & Zhu, J. (2018). The fading of investment-cash flow sensitivity and global development. Journal of Corporate Finance, 50, 294-322.
  32. Lewellen, J., & Lewellen, K. (2016). Investment and cash flow: New evidence. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 51(4), 1135-1164.
  33. Magud, M. N. E., & Sosa, M. S. (2015). Investment in Emerging Markets We Are Not in Kansas Anymore... Or Are We? International Monetary Fund.
  34. Marquis, C., & Raynard, M. (2015). Institutional strategies in emerging markets. Academy of Management Annals, 9(1), 291-335.
  35. Modigliani, F., & Miller, M. H. (1958). The cost of capital, corporation finance and the theory of investment. The American economic review, 48(3), 261-297.
  36. Moshirian, F., Nanda, V., Vadilyev, A., & Zhang, B. (2017). What drives investment-cash flow sensitivity around the World? An asset tangibility Perspective. Journal of Banking & Finance, 77, 1-17.
  37. Myers, S. C., & Majluf, N. S. (1984). Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have. Journal of financial economics, 13(2), 187-221.
  38. Roberts, M. R., & Whited, T. M. (2013). Endogeneity in empirical corporate finance1. In Handbook of the Economics of Finance (Vol. 2, 493-572). Elsevier.
  39. Russel, F. T. S. E. (2021). FTSE Equity Country Classification September 2021 Annual Announcement.
  40. Seifert, B., & Gonenc, H. (2010). Pecking order behavior in emerging markets. Journal of International Financial Management & Accounting, 21(1), 1-31.
  41. Silva, A. F. D., Weffort, E. F. J., Flores, E. D. S., & Silva, G. P. D. (2014). Earnings management and economic crises in the Brazilian capital market. Revista de Administração de Empresas, 54, 268-283.
  42. Stein, J. C. (2003). Agency, information and corporate investment. Handbook of the Economics of Finance, 1, 111-165.
  43. Stiglitz, J. E., & Weiss, A. (1981). Credit rationing in markets with imperfect information. The American economic review, 71(3), 393-410.
  44. Tobin, J. (1969). A general equilibrium approach to monetary theory. Journal of money, credit and banking, 1(1), 15-29.
  45. Townsend, R. M. (1979). Optimal contracts and competitive markets with costly state verification. Journal of Economic theory, 21(2), 265-293.


Investment – Cash Flow Sensitivity in Emerging Countries

Abstract:

This study examines investment-cash flow sensitivity in emerging countries. Our sample comprises non-financial firms from 13 emerging countries from 2000 to 2020. After controlling for the measurement error in q, our study shows that the investment of firms from emerging countries is significantly related to cash flow. Moreover, financially constrained firms to exhibit higher investment-cash flow sensitivities than their unconstrained counterparts. This result implies that investment-cash flow sensitivity is evidence of the financing constraint firms in emerging countries face when operating in imperfect financial markets.